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telecast
01-30-2011, 07:31 AM
Winter Storm Watch



SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB- WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OWOSSO...FLINT...LAPEER...PORT HURON... HOWELL...PONTIAC...WARREN...ANN ARBOR...DETROIT...ADRIAN...MONROE

WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. IMPACTS... * HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON ROADS MAY MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. * GUSTY WINDS MAY FURTHER REDUCE VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW AND MAKE ROADS HARDER TO CLEAR. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL SPREAD INTO SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF WEDNESDAY...POTENTIALLY BECOMING HEAVY. * HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW BETWEEN 8 AND 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. * NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH TUESDAY NIGHT...CREATING AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCING VISIBILITIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$

telecast
01-30-2011, 07:56 AM
In all seriousness, look at this current model. The weather people aren't saying a lot because they don't know which way it will go. This map puts a lot of us squarely in the 15-18" range, and some of us in the 20" or on the border. Maybe I'll go out and check the snow blower.

http://wxcaster4.com/gfs/CONUS2_GFS0P5_SFC_ACCUM-SNOW_120HR.gif

fatmanracing
01-30-2011, 08:34 AM
This is not moving us in the right direction for a couple quick rides down the street with the new seat on the bike... grrrr...

junkyardjon
01-30-2011, 08:50 AM
OH HELL YEAH!!!! national ride your snowmobile to work day? i only wish LOL

telecast
01-30-2011, 09:06 AM
I'm supposed to drive from AA to New Haven Wednesday, looks like it may get postponed. Just started the snowblower, first time it ran in over a year, fired up after about 10 pulls. Note: No fuel stabilizer.

TopShelf Scott
01-30-2011, 10:45 AM
Thats a GOOD TIME!!!

Gas Man
01-30-2011, 11:11 AM
Hmmm.... oh well. We are due by my calculations, haven't really had any real bad snow yet.

junkyardjon
01-30-2011, 08:30 PM
TELECAST
hey if you make it done this way, stop by. i'll treat you to lunch.
i work in new baltimore

aeryck
01-31-2011, 12:26 AM
Time to put the sand paddles on the quad...

Mudpuppy
01-31-2011, 08:47 AM
i wish i had a snowmobile to ride to work.. maybe it will be a snow day and i can work on more video.. bring on the snow.. the more the better.. east coast has been hit really hard now it is our turn.. i heard 21" in times square and my aunt in new jersey said they got a lot as well..

Gas Man
01-31-2011, 10:51 AM
News is calling it snow-apocalypse

I love it!

Mad Dog
01-31-2011, 11:21 AM
Well at least it will also be windy. Nothing more boring than heavy snow coming straight down. Just Sayin.....

telecast
01-31-2011, 11:26 AM
Wait it gets better!

Here's a post from another forum I visit. The guy who posted it follows an amatuer weather forecaster, who by his account is pretty accurate.

Good Morning,

This will be the only update until this evening as I obviously will be out and about.


Over night tonight the first round of snow will drop a solid 2-3 inches on the area. Most likely south of M59

Tomorrow the only change to the forecast is the fact the system will move into the area around 4pm

Besides that a solid 12-16 inches will fall Tuesday night through Wednesday from M59 to I94 The heaviest snowfall will be occurring during the morning rush Wednesday.

I am sticking to the higher end of the totals until I actually see anything else except snow.

So to summarize......

2-3 inches early tomorrow morning (ending around the morning rush)

12-16 inches late Tuesday through Wednesday night (until I see sleet)

I will update somewhere around 5pm

I really dont want to look past this storm but there is potential for a clipper over the weekend. There is another storm next Tuesday that is a carbon copy to the one coming tomorrow.

Gas Man
01-31-2011, 01:42 PM
I told the wife to make sure she may not have to go to her office on Wed. Hell maybe I'll take her to work... IDK.

There is good warning on this one, so the plow trucks should be out in force.

telecast
01-31-2011, 02:04 PM
I am regretting my decision over the last two years to not spend the $ on a new two stage thrower and keep my 12 year old single stage. Just called around, the only thing left in stock are the big money ones. I need something in the 5-6 HP 22-24" wide 3-4 forward speed category.

A 47" commercial at $2k is just a bit much, although I could do my driveway in two passess....

Mudpuppy
01-31-2011, 02:46 PM
12" is an apocalypse? Wow. Some pathetic weak motherfuckers live around here. They got to the old people because they are FLOCKING to the grocery store like its Y2K all over again. OH NO a foot of snow! We are all going to die. What a fucking joke.

A big cup of shut the fuck up to the next person that even thinks the word "snow".

telecast
01-31-2011, 03:15 PM
Ok, I'll take mine black.

It's actually a bigger deal than it seems. Howso, you ask? Well, it seems when I was a kid we dealt with this shit all the time. We've all said it. The truth is, even though we may remember it that way we really haven't had to deal with large snowfalls all that much. Check out this list. Double digit snowfalls are fairly rare, over 12" is rarer still, and we've only exceeded 12" a handful of times. It ocurred to me that my kids range from 19-24, and none of them have ever experienced a snowfall greater than 12.2". In fact if you weren't around in '74, that'd be the largest snowfall you remember. So from that standpoint, it's kind of a big deal. For people in that age group it's actually epic.

24.5 inches on April 6, 1886.
19.3 inches on Dec. 1-2, 1974.
16.1 inches on March 4-5, 1900.
14.0 inches on Feb. 28-March 1, 1900.
13.8 inches on Dec. 18-19, 1929.
12.8 inches on Feb. 12-13, 1894.
12.6 inches on Feb. 9, 1908.
12.5 inches on Jan. 31 to Feb. 1, 1881.
12.3 inches on Feb. 9, 1911.
12.3 inches on March 3-4, 1895.
12.2 inches on Jan. 22-23, 2005.
12.1 inches on Jan. 13-14, 1927.
11.8 inches on Jan. 30-31, 1982.
11.4 inches on Jan. 13-14, 1910.
11.4 inches on March 4-5, 1899.
11.3 inches on Jan. 2-3, 1999.
11.2 inches on Dec. 19-20, 1973.
11.2 inches on Feb. 3-4, 1901.
11.1 inches on March 7-8, 1931.
11.1 inches on Jan. 13-14, 1992.
11.0 inches on Feb. 25-26, 1965.
10.6 inches on Dec. 4-5, 1898.
10.3 inches on Jan. 6, 1994.
10.0 inches on Dec. 13-14, 1922.
10.0 inches on Feb. 4, 1900.

Edited to add: I remember the 19.3" in '74, I had been driving for about 6 mos.

Gas Man
01-31-2011, 03:49 PM
snow snow snow
SNOW SNOW SNOW
snow snow snow
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Gas Man
01-31-2011, 03:57 PM
Know it! (http://www.2wheelmichigan.com/forums/www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=snowpocalypse)

Expierence it! (http://snowpocalypsedc.com/)

telecast
01-31-2011, 04:00 PM
LOL! First link is dead, second one is great!

Gas Man
01-31-2011, 04:03 PM
Fixed... I think. it is blocked at my work so I can't check it.

telecast
01-31-2011, 04:10 PM
Nope, still screwed. Let me try:

http://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=snowpocalypse

Mad Dog
01-31-2011, 04:57 PM
There is good warning on this one, so the plow trucks should be out in force.

Yeah Right. If it's anything like Buffalo them pussies call in sick and hit the bars. Or hit the bars and then go plow into people and kill them. That just happend here. The guy was like .26 behind the wheel of a city plow and scooped some poor bastard up and threw him over the snowbank!

RedneckMedic
02-01-2011, 12:24 AM
im gunna go find and empty parking lot and have fun doing donuts in the new truck wooooooohooooooo!!!!!!

telecast
02-01-2011, 08:22 AM
Man, look at this forecast for my area. The low side is 15", high side is 24".

Today: Snow showers. High 21F. Winds NE at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of snow 60%. Snow accumulating 1 to 3 inches.
Tonight: Snow heavy at times. Gusty winds will lead to blizzard conditions...especially late. Low 18F. Winds NE at 25 to 35 mph. 10 to 15 inches of snow expected.
Tomorrow: Periods of snow and windy. Significant blowing and drifting snow. High 21F. Winds N at 20 to 30 mph. Chance of snow 90%. Snow accumulating 4 to 6 inches.

So, I'm thinkin' Jambalaya, Chili, or Chicken and Dumplings. All three will work for a blizzardy night. I have some nice Jameson Reserve left that my daughter brought back from the distillery in Ireland. Snow removal gear is ready to go.

I checked the snow depth in the backyard to see how much was there so I have a base, just to see how much we actually get. As of yesterday there was 5-1/2" out there, but I told my wife it was 6....

Mudpuppy
02-01-2011, 08:32 AM
Key words "an area not used to it" - ok if you live in Michigan and aren't used to snow you are a fucking mental midget..

Snowpocalypse 18 up (http://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=snowpocalypse#), 6 down (http://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=snowpocalypse#)
buy snowpocalypse mugs, tshirts and magnets (http://www.urbandictionary.com/products.php?term=Snowpocalypse&defid=4675319)
Similar to Snowmaggedon (http://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=Snowmaggedon). It is the end of the world in the form of snow. Involves massive amounts of snow fall in a period of short time. Usually takes place in areas not accustomed to heavy or frequent snowfall.

Gas Man
02-01-2011, 02:25 PM
I'm at the point of this...

I don't like it cause the wife has to drive in it, to work and she has a small car.

But beyond that I don't give a crap.

Gas Man
02-02-2011, 07:53 AM
Definately not the drop they were calling for but I had some 30" drifts... my backyard has drifts probably 3' deep for the dog to play in.

WILEY
02-02-2011, 08:20 AM
Went through the blizzard of 95 in Pennsylvania.

Had 35 inches of snow that fell.

Took me 2 days just to dig out my truck.

There was an area that was being called the tunnels where the snow drifts exceeded 20 feet.

Never saw snow like that before and hope never to again!!!!

telecast
02-02-2011, 08:24 AM
There was about 5" on the ground when I went to bed, haven't been out yet this morning. Looking out the windows, some parts of my driveway are almost bare and others have some decent drifts. If i had to guess right now, I'd say 7-8" max.

Mad Dog
02-02-2011, 08:26 AM
Woke to the same shit here. It just started raining though and with the temps in the low 20's it could get interesting.
Oh well. Just another day in NY.

SportstersPaul
02-02-2011, 01:31 PM
Well we got snow, this sucks as it will probably be 3-4 days befor I can ride again, have started to seriously consider a ski mounted front wheel and studs on the rear!!